28 November, 2010

Thoughts on the Core Portfolio

Ideally I would like my portfolio to double every couple of years, and be at least a millionaire within a few years, and then live happily ever after. Wishful thinking? Absolutely! Will this happen? Unlikely... unless I win the lottery. Of course since I have never bought a lottery ticket, that's not really happening.

I am willing to settle for a core portfolio of securities with a low/medium risk profile and a medium/high return. This is a reasonable requirement for almost everyone... right? The only challenge is to identify the right investment vehicles.

So far, here is my plan: put in the bulk of my investments in good balanced and large cap oriented mutual funds. This represents the bulk of my portfolio and should provide reasonable results with a reasonable risk. I can essentially fire and forget, and focus on other things. Like the itch to beat the market, where I set aside a small amount that I can play around with directly in the stock market, and any losses, though painful, do not wipe me out!

Thoughts on what goes into the core portfolio: HDFC Prudence, HDFC Top 200, Franklin Bluechip, and maybe a couple of index funds.

21 November, 2010

Gammon India... going down

Q2 results for Gammon India are not looking so good. The stock today stands at 179, higher than the 151 I paid for it in June 2009, but lower than the 197 I paid in September 2009.

The reason for first buying the stock was that you could see Gammon all over the place in Delhi. The were building the metro and countless flyovers in Delhi. Financials were good, and in September 2009, I had already made a decent amount of money. The financials still made sense and there was no reason not to buy a bit more. It looked pretty good in the portfolio at that time.

The stock went further up and stayed in the 220-240 range, when I should have sold, and then started the gradual decline. I still think it is a decent company to invest in, the industry as whole has good potential, but the recent bad press means that the share price is likely to go down further in the near future.

For now, I am selling. However, I will try to keep an eye on the stock and buy back at lower levels.

Links to Gammon India:
Google Finance
MoneyControl

02 November, 2010

Stock Buying Strategy for the Aam Aadmi

So you want to buy some shares on the Indian stock markets... but don't have the time or energy to do the full due diligence. But you know that you can beat the market... You want the returns but can't put in the time. You want the thrills but need a safety net... you want the cake, and want to eat it too.

Well... yes you can! Well, I can. Here is what I do: I build my self a safety net of mutual funds, and keep some money on the side for investing in the stock market. I know very well that there is no way I can find the time to fully research the stocks I should be buying, so I widen my safety net as much as possible. The bulk of my money goes into mutual funds, and I have set aside a small amount to play around with, to get the thrills.

This strategy gives you a nice safety net where your investments can grow in the hands of professionals, and at the same time gives you an opportunity to 'play the market' and pit yourself against the professionals. And by the way, I see no reason why you shouldn't be beating the professionals.

24 October, 2010

Buy That Share... Now!

A number of studies and statistics categorically prove that investing in stocks can potentially be the highest yielding investment possible.
The aam aadmi is of course an expert at investing in stocks. He knows what to buy, and the perfect time to do so, and the perfect time to sell. He knows where to get the right tips. He understands that the market is rigged in favour of the big players, but he also knows how to beat them at their own game... Or does he?
Fact is, knowing when to invest in what, and when to sell requires a lot of effort and hard work, and you still have a high chance of making mistakes. The system is rigged, but in favour of people whose job it is to buy and sell, people who make an effort to find out the news before you and I know about it, people who employ armies to analyse the annual reports of companies, line by line, number by number.
Does the aam aadmi, do you, have the time and the expertise to do so? Maybe some expertise... but the time? I certainly don't. So, what to do? Certainly do invest, but take the easier route and leave it to the professionals. Go the Mutual Fund route. A good mutual fund will give you decent returns over the long term, and most importantly, your free time is actually free.
That still leaves us with this: There is a wild animal called the Stock Market out there. I know I can tame it. I need to tame it... can't control the urge...

05 September, 2010

PPF as part of Asset Allocation plan

What proportion of your investments are tucked away in fixed income securities like bond or debt funds? Bank fixed deposits? While these investment avenues may be good options but do you consider what you put away in your PPF account in this category?
All the time our financial advisers will sell us equity funds, debt fund or ULIPs, but what none of them will recommend is your PPF account, yet this is possibly the best fixed income vehicle that is available in India. The only time PPF is considered is for its tax benefits. But is that tax benefit the only reason to invest in PPF.
Simply, a PPF is an account where you get a tax benefit on investment, tax free returns of 8% (as of now), and any cash you take out is fully tax free. Most people will look at only the first component, and ignore the other two.
Here is what you should be doing: try to use up your 1 lakh limit for EPF and  insurance first. The tax benefits from your PPF account will accrue over the years and may even outstrip any bond, fixed deposit or debt fund. This is because the 8% you get is tax free, unlike any returns from other places. And of course, Bharat Sarkar ensures the safety of your investment.

17 August, 2010

LIC Charges? Can't see them!

Why are there no details of any of the charges levied by LIC on their policies on their website (www.licindia.in)? I am looking at getting some insurance, and was advised that LIC would be the most effective solution, but unfortunately I can find absolutely no indication of the costs that I will incur. This applies, for example, to Cash Back or ULIP type policies, where most of my money should go towards investment in some form, while the insurance company keeps some operating costs.

Maybe, the costs are there and its only me who cannot find them. The closest I came to was 'The Unit Fund is subject to various charges and value of units may increase or decrease, depending on the Net Asset Value (NAV).' at http://www.licindia.in/profit_plus_features.htm. In contrast, other insurance companies, HDFC Standard Life for example, clearly mention the charges applicable on their policies.

It is a shame that LIC is not being forthright with its potential customers. Maybe its just bad website design and not an attempt to hide information, but given that it is the largest insurer in India, one would expect better.